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Archive for October, 2024

Visualizing the Wind Patterns Leading to Paul’s Shipwreck

Sunday, October 20th, 2024

Acts 27 recounts Paul’s shipwreck as he travels from Crete to Malta after Yom Kippur (September 24 in AD 60, approximately when this story is set). For the shipwreck portion of the voyage, his ship starts in Fair Havens on the southern of coast of Crete. They’re trying to make port in western Crete but are blown by a strong wind from the northeast. The sailors are concerned about being driven into sandbars in the gulf of Syrtis, so they let the ship be blown along and eventually end up in Malta.

On November 11, 2021, Storm Blas set up this wind pattern almost exactly, connecting Crete to Malta (the strong white line represents my interpretation of a possible path):

Strong wind pattern from Crete to Malta, with a path following the wind.

This wind pattern comes from the mesmerizing earth.nullschool.net, where you can also play around with an animated version. (It’s way more exciting than this static image). This image reflects a point in time, while Paul’s shipwreck narrative takes two weeks. So this wind pattern would change during the voyage; this image just happens to show the appropriate wind pattern for the whole voyage.

Arguably, the wind should blow them farther south, closer to Syrtis. Cyclone Zorbas from September 27, 2018, shows an even-more-intense flow that would take a ship nearer Syrtis. It doesn’t connect to Malta, but, again, the wind patterns would change over the course of several days.

Wind blowing from Crrete to Syrtis during Cyclone Zorbas.

Earlier in the story, Luke describes sailing from Sidon “under the lee of Cyprus, because the winds were against us.” Then they “sailed across the open sea along the coast of Cilicia and Pamphylia” on the way to Myra. Bible maps don’t entirely agree what “the lee of Cyprus” implies for the route (some take it to mean sailing along Cyprus’s southern coast, though that interpretation creates tension with “Cilicia and Pamphylia” to the north). This image from October 29, 2023, illustrates the lee along Cyprus’s eastern coast:

Path from Sidon to Cyprus with few winds along the path.

Finally, the trip from Myra to Cnidus (“with difficulty”) and then to Salmone on Crete (“the wind did not allow us to go farther”) could find an expression on October 13, 2024. In this image, the winds during the segment from Myra to Cnidus are coming from the west or northwest, against the direction of travel. The strong winds from the north through the Aegean make westward travel difficult, pushing the ship south. This wind pattern appears to be typical for this time of year.

Path from Myra to Salmone in Crete via Cnidus with strong winds from the north.

Again, I’m not arguing that these images reflect the actual wind patterns involved in Paul’s shipwreck voyage; I’m just showing that it’s possible to find modern analogues to the winds described in the story.

Posted in Geo, Visualizations | Comments Off on Visualizing the Wind Patterns Leading to Paul’s Shipwreck

Explore Bible Sections (Pericopes) with Sankey Diagrams

Sunday, October 6th, 2024

Explore the diagrams here.

Did you know that different translations insert section headings at different places in the Bible text? Some translations might want shorter sections to break up the text into more-easily digestible units, while others may prefer fewer sections to better preserve the flow of thought.

This project takes twenty English Bibles (BSB, ERV, ESV, ISV, NCV, CEB, CEV, CSB, GNT, GW, LEB, NABRE, NASB, NCB, NET, NIV, NKJV, NLT, NRSVue, and REB), identifies where each section starts and ends, and presents the aggregated data.

Specifically, it uses Sankey diagrams to plot section breaks for each book of the Bible. For example, here’s the diagram for Ruth (also in png format):

Pericopes for Ruth

Here’s how to read this diagram: The height of each solid bar indicates the number of translations with a heading at that verse. Lighter bands emanate from each bar to where the section ends. For example, from 1:1, you can see a small band that ends at 1:7, larger bands that end at 1:14 and 2:1, and a much-larger band that ends at 1:6. The size of the bands shows the number of translations. So we can see that most translations treat 1:1-5 as a single section, and they start a new section at 1:6. Then, starting in 1:6, there’s much more variety in how long the sections are (you can see that the bands fan out to five different vertical bars).

What can we learn from this visualization? The high bars at 1:1, 2:1, 3:1, and 4:1 indicate that translations insert headings at the chapter breaks in Ruth. (Ruth is unusual in this respect; most books don’t break so cleanly and unanimously.) In chapter one, you can see somewhat-large divisions at verses 6 (Naomi hears about God’s work) and 19 (Ruth and Naomi arrive in Bethlehem). But other translations pick different divisions in chapter 1: verse 7 (Naomi starts heading out to Bethlehem), verse 8 (Naomi asks her daughters-in-law to go back, verse 14 (Ruth clings to Naomi), verse 16 (“Where you go I will go”), and verse 18 (Naomi stops asking Ruth to go back). And still other translations don’t break up chapter one at all. So different translators see different moments as deserving headings, which shapes how you read the text.

Similarly, in chapter four, many translations see 4:13 as a turning point (when Boaz officially marries Ruth). The bar at 4:18 is showing that some translations have a heading for David’s genealogy, but most don’t.

Lamentations is another favorite. Some translations make the acrostic structure visible to the English reader through headings, but most don’t:

Pericopes for Lamentations

Is this kind of analysis helpful? I’m not really sure. And the data complexity for most books—Ruth is manageable, but longer books are less so—is perhaps pushing Sankey diagrams past where they’re useful. But explore and decide for yourself. As usual, the data is freely available to download under a CC-BY license. I used SankeyMATIC to generate the Sankey diagrams; you can click through to SankeyMATIC to interact with the diagrams by highlighting certain bands and moving things around.

See all the Sankey diagrams here.

Update: to follow on with my previous post, here are two AI-generated podcasters discussing these diagrams. The part where they discuss Exodus is especially interesting to me, since I don’t discuss it in the text. The only way they’d draw their conclusions is by looking at and understanding the Sankey diagram for Exodus, knowing that Exodus 32 is about the golden calf, and interpreting it as they do. It’s impressive. Listen here.

Posted in Labs, Visualizations | 1 Comment »

Do NotebookLM Podcasts Make Sermons Obsolete?

Saturday, October 5th, 2024

Google’s NotebookLM has a new feature that turns anything you upload into a podcast conversation between two synthetic hosts. Ben Cohen in today’s Wall Street Journal says that it’ll “blow your mind,” and he’s right.

Here’s a conversation about the book of Galatians—all I did was give it a link to Bible Gateway, and it produced this fifteen-minute conversation:

This is, honestly, good. It has what I’d look for in an non-technical overview of Galatians, and it’s more-engaging to listen to than the typical sermon. It doesn’t go too in-depth, but it’s a strong overview.

In my intro to the AI Sermon Outline Generator, I said that the sermon outlines it generates are “around the 50th percentile” in terms of sermon quality, but I’d put this podcast closer to the 90th percentile, at least in terms of presentation. It’s engaging—very much like a natural conversation between two people who are discussing the text while bringing in perspectives and background information. It even includes personal application (a takeaway) the way a sermon would.

Listening to this discussion was ear-opening for me: it was better than nearly every sermon I’ve ever heard, but its insights are synthetic and not really aimed at me (or anyone). I didn’t hear anything that was wrong, but as with any AI, it could very easily make things up, misinterpret passages, or introduce subtle (or not-so-subtle) heresies. But it’s so engaging that I might not even notice.

Elisha and the Bears

Next, I gave it the difficult story of Elisha and the bears from 2 Kings 2:23-25:

Here it did a decent job of presenting some of the basic interpretive options, but I wouldn’t say it engaged that much with the text. It also didn’t really draw conclusions.

So I uploaded about 3,000 words of commentary material on this passage, and it produced the following:

This is definitely better, and it grounds it in more of the commentary text. Again its conclusion is that you need to figure out its meaning for yourself, which isn’t exactly what I’m looking for in a sermon. But it still did a good job of presenting background info and various interpretations.

Your Daily Bible Reading

Lastly, I uploaded today’s Daily Office reading; the Daily Office thematically arranges texts, so I expected it to draw out similarities between them. It didn’t disappoint:

I grant you, again, that it isn’t the deepest conversation. But it hit the themes and key verses in an engaging way; it did a good job providing thoughts around the text and making me care more about what I just read in the Bible. And, importantly, I could produce a similar podcast no matter what my passages were; it’s custom-generated for exactly what I’m reading.

What’s Are These Podcasts Useful For?

Because the podcasts are stylistically engaging, I think it might make sense for a pastor to upload a sermon’s Bible passages along with research materials into NotebookLM and have it generate a podcast about it. You can listen to it while you’re going for a walk or commuting somewhere. Then you can ask yourself questions like: What does the podcast focus on? How does it activate interest and curiosity in listeners the way podcasts do? The risk is that it’ll podcastify your sermon and move it toward becoming a podcast rather than a sermon. But if you struggle with sermon writing, it might give you some ideas on engaging your audience.

As for non-pastors, creating a podcast that directly relates to your regular Bible reading might be a way to help you think about the Bible text in a new way. It’s worth trying out if you find that you’re looking for something different.

Do They Make Sermons Obsolete?

I wouldn’t say that these podcasts make sermons obsolete, exactly, since they don’t serve the same purpose as a sermon. In terms of quality and keeping my interest, these podcasts surpass most sermons I’ve heard. In terms of depth and insight, they tend to pose questions more than provide answers, which is fine for the podcast genre but isn’t necessarily what I’m looking for in a sermon.

But I was still impressed: as custom, near-instant podcasts, they work really well—much better than I was expecting. Outside of church, I’m much more likely to listen to one of these podcasts than I am to a sermon, especially since I can ensure the podcast will cover exactly the topic I’m interested in and ground it in the sources I care about.

Posted in AI, Sermons | 1 Comment »